吴旭辉. 新质生产力与中国式现代化耦合协调度的区域差异及收敛性J. 内江师范学院学报, 2026, 41(4): 66-77. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2026.04.009
    引用本文: 吴旭辉. 新质生产力与中国式现代化耦合协调度的区域差异及收敛性J. 内江师范学院学报, 2026, 41(4): 66-77. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2026.04.009
    WU Xuhui. Regional differences and convergence in the coupling coordination degree between new quality productive forces and Chinese modernizationJ. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2026, 41(4): 66-77. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2026.04.009
    Citation: WU Xuhui. Regional differences and convergence in the coupling coordination degree between new quality productive forces and Chinese modernizationJ. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2026, 41(4): 66-77. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2026.04.009

    新质生产力与中国式现代化耦合协调度的区域差异及收敛性

    Regional differences and convergence in the coupling coordination degree between new quality productive forces and Chinese modernization

    • 摘要: 基于我国30个省区市2010—2021年的数据,在计算新质生产力与中国式现代化水平的基础上,应用耦合协调模型测算两者之间的耦合协调性,基于Dagum基尼系数、莫兰指数、收敛模型等揭示两者耦合协调度的空间差异、空间集聚特征及收敛规律.研究得出:全国新质生产力与中国式现代化耦合协调度呈单调递增态势,但耦合协调等级较低,到2021年仅达到初级协调阶段;耦合协调度的区域差异明显,呈东部地区>中部地区>西部地区>东北地区的发展特征.从空间差异来看,耦合协调度的总体差异在逐渐减小,但中部地区、西部地区区域内的差异在逐渐增大,总体差异主要来自区域间,且东部与东北、西部、中部地区之间的差异起决定性作用.从空间集聚特征来看,我国新质生产力与中国式现代化耦合协调度的空间差异明显,存在显著的正的空间集聚特征,且省份间的带动效应与虹吸效应并存.从收敛规律来看,全国和东北地区存在σ收敛,全国和四大地区均存在β收敛,但收敛速度存在差异,东北地区收敛速度最快,东部地区收敛速度最慢.

       

      Abstract: Based on data from 30 Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2021, this study calculated the levels of New Quality Productive Forces (NQPF) and Chinese Modernization. Subsequently, a coupling coordination model was applied to measure the coupling coordination degree (CCD) between the two systems. Then, methods including the Dagum Gini coefficient, Moran's index, and convergence models were used to reveal the spatial disparities, spatial agglomeration characteristics, and convergence patterns of the CCD. The findings indicate that: The national CCD between NQPF and Chinese Modernization showed a monotonically increasing trend; however, the coordination level remained relatively low, reaching only the primary coordination stage by 2021. Significant regional disparities in CCD were observed, exhibiting a characteristic pattern of Eastern Region > Central Region > Western Region > Northeastern Region. Regarding spatial differences, the overall disparity in CCD gradually decreased, but intra-regional disparities within the Central and Western Regions increased. The overall disparity primarily originated from inter-regional differences, with the disparities between the Eastern Region and the Northeastern, Western, and Central Regions playing a decisive role. In terms of spatial agglomeration characteristics, there were significant spatial disparities in the CCD across China, displaying significant positive spatial agglomeration, where both driving effects and siphoning effects coexisted among provinces. Regarding convergence patterns, σ-convergence was observed nationally and in the Northeastern Region, while β-convergence existed across the nation and all four major regions, but the convergence speeds varied, with the Northeastern Region converging the fastest and the Eastern Region converging the slowest.

       

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