秦婵蓉, 李卫朋, 税攀恒, 虎瑞林, 李雪琪, 尹肇麒. 川东北地区气候资源利用率时空演化特征及成因[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2024, 39(12): 52-60. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2024.12.009
    引用本文: 秦婵蓉, 李卫朋, 税攀恒, 虎瑞林, 李雪琪, 尹肇麒. 川东北地区气候资源利用率时空演化特征及成因[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2024, 39(12): 52-60. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2024.12.009
    QIN Chanrong, LI Weipeng, SHUI Panheng, HU Ruilin, LI Xueqi, YIN Zhaoqi. Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of climate resource utilization efficiency in the Northeastern Sichuan Province[J]. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2024, 39(12): 52-60. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2024.12.009
    Citation: QIN Chanrong, LI Weipeng, SHUI Panheng, HU Ruilin, LI Xueqi, YIN Zhaoqi. Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of climate resource utilization efficiency in the Northeastern Sichuan Province[J]. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2024, 39(12): 52-60. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2024.12.009

    川东北地区气候资源利用率时空演化特征及成因

    Spatio-temporal evolution and influencing factors of climate resource utilization efficiency in the Northeastern Sichuan Province

    • 摘要: 为进一步揭示气候变化背景下区域农业生产与气候资源间的关系及其影响因素,基于1961-2020年川东北26个气象站点数据和2001-2020年34个市(区、县)统计年鉴数据,利用Thornthwaite Memorial模型及地理探测器等方法分析了川东北气候生产潜力和气候资源利用率的时空特征,并定量分析了气候资源利用率的影响因素.结果表明(1)近60年川东北气候生产潜力以5.21 g/(m2·10 a)的速度上升,并且气候生产潜力空间上呈现东南高西北低分布特征;(2)2001-2020年川东北气候资源利用率年平均值为35.3%,并以2%/10 a的速度上升,气候资源利用率在空间上呈现西高东低分布;(3)气候资源利用率影响因子探测分析发现单因子中有效灌溉面积和化肥施用量的影响作用较明显(q=0.212、q=0.181),双因子的交互影响作用普遍更强.今后在遵循因地制宜的原则上应科学合理地优化农业有效灌溉面积和化肥施用量,协调区域产业结构,以增加粮食产量并提高气候资源利用率.

       

      Abstract: To further elucidate the relationship between regional agricultural production and climate resources under the background of climate change, this study utilizes data from 26 meteorological stations in Northeastern Sichuan Province from 1961 to 2020, as well as statistical yearbooks from 34 cities (districts, counties) from 2001 to 2020. The Thornthwaite Memorial model and geographic detector are employed to analyze the spatio-temporal characteristics of climate production potential and climate resource utilization rate in Northeastern Sichuan. Furthermore, the influencing factors of climate resource utilization rate are quantitatively analyzed. The results indicate the following: 1) Over the past 60 years,the climate productivity potential in Northeastern Sichuan has been increasing at a rate of 5.21g/(m2.10a). Spatially, it exhibits a distribution pattern with higher values in the southeast and lower values in the northwest. 2) The average utilization rate of climate resources in Northeast Sichuan from 2001 to 2020 is 35.3%, and it is increasing at a rate of 2%/10a. Spatially, the utilization rate of climatic resources exhibits a pattern of higher values in the west and lower values in the east. 3) The detection analysis of influencing factors of climate resource utilization rate reveals that the impact of single factors such as effective irrigation area and fertilizer application amount is more significant (q=0.212, q=0.181). The interaction effects of these two factors are generally stronger. Following the principle of adapting measures to local conditions, it is necessary to scientifically and reasonably optimize agricultural effective irrigation area and fertilizer application, coordinate regional industrial structure, in order to increase grain production and improve the utilization rate of climate resources.

       

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