胡子阳, 夏元平. 1977-2021年鄱阳湖汛期面积变化遥感监测分析[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2023, 38(6): 72-78. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2023.06.013
    引用本文: 胡子阳, 夏元平. 1977-2021年鄱阳湖汛期面积变化遥感监测分析[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2023, 38(6): 72-78. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2023.06.013
    HU Ziyang, XIA Yuanping. Remote sensing monitoring and analysis of area change of Poyang Lake during the flood season from 1977 to 2021[J]. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2023, 38(6): 72-78. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2023.06.013
    Citation: HU Ziyang, XIA Yuanping. Remote sensing monitoring and analysis of area change of Poyang Lake during the flood season from 1977 to 2021[J]. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2023, 38(6): 72-78. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2023.06.013

    1977-2021年鄱阳湖汛期面积变化遥感监测分析

    Remote sensing monitoring and analysis of area change of Poyang Lake during the flood season from 1977 to 2021

    • 摘要: 基于1977-2021年鄱阳湖Landsat遥感影像数据以及1980-2020年鄱阳湖流域土地利用数据,选取改进归一化差异水体指数(MNDWI),提取鄱阳湖面积并分析面积变化趋势,同时采用转移矩阵、标准差椭圆和Pearson相关性分析方法探究汛期水体面积变化特征及驱动机制.研究表明:1977-2021年鄱阳湖汛期水体面积总体呈现下降趋势,湖泊面积以10.29 km2/a下降;鄱阳湖汛期水体面积时序变化总体分为三个阶段:缓慢萎缩期、明显萎缩期、明显增长期;由土地利用动态度得出城乡工用地面积增长最快,动态度达到3.15%;未利用地、林地和耕地的面积呈现下降趋势;由相关性分析得出湖泊面积变化与年末总人口呈现显著的负相关,同时与国民生产总值呈现明显负相关.改革开放后,人口增长、人类围垦活动以及水利工程的修建等人类活动逐渐成为影响鄱阳湖汛期水域面积变化的主导因素.

       

      Abstract: Based on the Landsat remote sensing image data of Poyang Lake from 1977-2021 and the land use data of Poyang Lake basin from 1980 to 2020, the improved normalized difference water index (MNDWI) was selected to extract the area of Poyang Lake and analyze the area change trend. At the same time, transfer matrix, standard deviation ellipse and Pearson correlation analysis methods are used to explore the characteristics and driving mechanism of water area change in flood season. The research shows that the water area of Poyang Lake in the flood season from 1977 to 2021 generally presents a downward trend, and the lake area decreases by 10.29 km2/a. The time sequence change of the water area of Poyang Lake in the flood season is generally divided into three stages: slow shrinkage period, obvious shrinkage period, and obvious growth period; According to the dynamic degree of land use, the area of urban and rural industrial land has the fastest growth, with the dynamic degree reaching 3.15%; The area of unused land, forest land and cultivated land showed a downward trend; According to the correlation analysis, the change of lake area shows a significant negative correlation with the total population at the end of the year, and a significant negative correlation with the gross national product. After the reform and opening up, human activities such as population growth, human reclamation activities and the construction of water conservancy projects have gradually become the leading factors affecting the change of water area of Poyang Lake during the flood season.

       

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