马超, 赖月群, 许斌, 张晨. 武汉市土地利用时空变化分析[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2018, (10): 87-92. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2018.10.017
    引用本文: 马超, 赖月群, 许斌, 张晨. 武汉市土地利用时空变化分析[J]. 内江师范学院学报, 2018, (10): 87-92. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2018.10.017
    MA Chao, LAI Yuequn, XU Bin, ZHANG Chen. Spatio-temporal Analysis of Land Use Change in Wuhan[J]. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2018, (10): 87-92. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2018.10.017
    Citation: MA Chao, LAI Yuequn, XU Bin, ZHANG Chen. Spatio-temporal Analysis of Land Use Change in Wuhan[J]. Journal of Neijiang Normal University, 2018, (10): 87-92. DOI: 10.13603/j.cnki.51-1621/z.2018.10.017

    武汉市土地利用时空变化分析

    Spatio-temporal Analysis of Land Use Change in Wuhan

    • 摘要: 以武汉市土地利用为研究对象, 通过解译2005年、2009年、2013年Landsat影像, 分析武汉市8年间土地利用变化及城市扩展, 运用马尔可夫方法预测2021年武汉市土地利用情况.结果表明:2005—2013年武汉城区以9.84%的年平均速率扩展, 呈先快后慢趋势;城镇用地急剧增加, 林地、未利用地被占用数量多, 耕地空间分布变化大, 地类转移剧烈.武汉市主城区人口急剧增长, 二、三产业快速发展和地质地表形态是影响武汉城市扩展的主要因素.预测到2021年, 武汉市土地利用呈城市面积增速放缓, 耕地、水域面积基本保持不变, 未利用减少的趋势.

       

      Abstract: The land use in Wuhan was taken as the research subject, and the Landsat images from 2005, 2009, and 2013 were interpreted to analyze land use changes and urban expansion in Wuhan City.Markov method was used to predict land use in Wuhan City in 2021.The results show that:1) During the period from 2005 to 2013, the urban area in Wuhan expanded at annual rate of 9.84% on average, following a trend of rapid growth at the beginning and a slowing-down at the later half;urban land use underwent a sharp increase with large quantities of forest land and unused land being used for urbanization;the spatial distribution of farmland saw drastic changes and the constant shift of land use types is violent;2) The rapid increase in the population of the city proper of Wuhan, the fast development of secondary and tertiary industries, and the geological surface formation are the principal factors affecting the urban expansion of Wuhan.3) The growth rate of urban areas in Wuhan is predicted to slow down, the area of cultivated land and water areas will remain basically unchanged, and the unused land is expected to decrease in 2021.

       

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